Masturbating whilst black out drunk under your friends new fuzzy blanket
Matt got Black out Drunk and was caught restraining the swan after having a few too many bottles...Vanessa was not happy in the morning.
A large scale impactful event that, with first order second order effects, impacts over a billion people in surprising ways. Though the event is surprising, it has actually been predicted or was likely to happen based on people that call themselves futurists and economists arguing both sides of every argument. Gray swans by default tend to be negative. Covid-19 was a graceful event has defined by the The Grey Swan Guild, a global think tank that studies these types of occurrences along with Grey Rhinos, Green Swans, White Alligator, and Black Jellyfish.
ROB: I'M PRETTY SURE THAT WAS A "GREY SWAN". NO ONE EXPECTED THAT ROCKET TO CRASH INTO THE INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION.
SEAN: Stop shouting and think. According to my quick research on perplexity and our website Prediction Market.. there was a 5% chance that one of the rockets or shuttles would crash into the ISS it's just a matter of gravity. Those are actually pretty good odds I can't believe it wasn't more defense on the ISS!